World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Taiwan (06/22) - Aurora (Blitz)

Aurora

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chen Yi-Lin

10th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs 陸宗彥 (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Chi Jung Lu (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs 王上熏 (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs yi chuan lai (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

健峰簡

19th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Shao Qi Zeng (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Unknown)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

yu hong wang

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs KUO YANG CHANG (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.