Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bernar Aganchyan

3rd • 4-1-0

40%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yanko Spasov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Angelov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.96
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Alex Kondov

5th • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Ivanov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Petar Vladikov

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deyan Dimitrov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Marin Hristov

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emil Venkov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefania Gergova (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.