National Championship 2025 - Bulgaria - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bernar Aganchyan

3rd • 4-1-0

60%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yanko Spasov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Angelov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.05
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Alex Kondov

5th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Ivanov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Petar Vladikov

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Deyan Dimitrov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Georgi Lazarov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.59

Marin Hristov

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emil Venkov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefania Gergova (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.