Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marin Hristov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emil Venkov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Angelov (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Viktor Ivanov (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.