Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yanko Spasov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexios Plomaritis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 1-1-1
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ventsislav Iliev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stoyan Stoyanov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Valentin Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.