Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Plamen Bahlov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Deyan Dimitrov (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 9: Loss vs Antoan Yordanov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.