Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Dorinthea Ironsong

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73

Uzuri, Switchblade

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nikolai Galabov (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ventsislav Iliev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.46

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Ivanov (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Petar Vladikov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.