National Championship 2025 - Austria - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

valentin mackl

5th • 3-0-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.53
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27

Marvin Heusinger

3rd • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Haselberger (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Christian Drabusenigg

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon Luk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.61

Ethan Krogsgard

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Simon Luk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lukavsky (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Tom Tucek

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Reitbauer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nemanja Milenkovic (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.