Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Reichhart

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominique Crepaz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67

Jarl Vetreiði

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stefan Triebl (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.42
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Krogsgard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Indra (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.