Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Austria

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Martin Hechtberger

2nd • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukas Einramhof (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Morris Prem (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs valentin mackl (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Alexander Tsohohey

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Wallner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25

Katsu, the Wanderer

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philipp Gmeiner (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Wallner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.