Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tamás Somoskövi

dropped • 3-0-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Krisztiàn Lajkò (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Balint Herendi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ádám Mészáros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.42
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Csaba "Cranta" Dezső

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roland Szécsényi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Krisztiàn Lajkò (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.58
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Márk Csider

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tuba Csák Botond (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebok Gabor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Márton Kovács

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tuba Csák Botond (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peszlen Zoltán (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Márk Mészáros (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.