Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Márton Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Márk Csider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.