National Championship 2025 - Hungary - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC) - FaB-Results

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Quentin Delsante

3rd • 4-1-0

60%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

5.2

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nándor Péntek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Levente Szilágyi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peszlen Zoltán (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55

Puffin, Hightail

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bence Androkity (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Domonkos Kiss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.68
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Win	✗	0.86	3.93
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Márk Mészáros

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tamás Lepedus (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35

Dorinthea Ironsong

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Márton Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.