Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2025 - Hungary
Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs András 'Kaptain' Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bence Kustra (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Quentin Delsante (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.