FaB-Results

Azalea, Ace in the Hole at National Championship 2025 - Hungary

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Valentin Varga
5th • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Márk Csider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcell Vass (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bence Androkity (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Domonkos Kiss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Bence Kustra
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
Deck
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dániel Komjáti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bence Androkity (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Domonkos Kiss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.