National Championship 2025 - Hungary - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bence Vereszki

dropped • 2-0-1

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dávid István Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Bálint Tóth (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zsigmond Komondi (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Balint Herendi

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roland Szécsényi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bálint Tóth (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.52
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.59

Sebok Gabor

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marcell Vass (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tamás Lepedus (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Márk Csider (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.