Kayo at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Kayo

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kazuaki Fukui

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Francis Leocadio Legaspi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Keita Arai (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.50
R3	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.65
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ken Kuwahara

12th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.3

Diff

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs 野原由一 (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.31
R2	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.52
R6	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Yukitaka Inohara

20th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs 祐介又吉 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Kunihiko Date

21st • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs 野原由一 (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ran Sasaki

22nd • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs 拓弥橋本 (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kazuhiro Nagatsuka

25th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs 拓弥橋本 (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Blitz	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

優輝大野

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Maya Yagura (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

30:70

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.39
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Francis Leocadio Legaspi

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Vivekraj Kannalagan (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

岡本一朗

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs 隆元中村 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

祐介又吉

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R2	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

秀太栗原

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs 野原由一 (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Yukitaka Inohara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

隆元中村

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.