Arakni, Solitary Confinement

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Kayo
70:30
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Nagatsuka (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29
Vynnset
30:70
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Vynnset) - Expected: 29:71
Aurora
60:40
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Reo Hamada (Aurora) - Expected: 60:40
Kayo
70:30
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29
Kayo, Berserker Runt
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Levia
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Kayo
70:30
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29
Yoji, Royal Protector
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Aurora
60:40
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Reo Hamada (Aurora) - Expected: 60:40
Kayo
!!
70:30
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Yoji, Royal Protector
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.