World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Japan - Vynnset (Blitz)

Vynnset

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gaia Enomoto

14th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ryuto nakagawa

24th • 2-3-1

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs suguru ishimaru (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Maya Yagura (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs 野原由一 (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Aurora	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Taiki Koike

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R2	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.