Enigma at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Japan
Enigma
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 2-3-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs 颯 小嶺 (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Draw vs ryuto nakagawa (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Kazuhiro Nagatsuka (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.