Florian at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Florian

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kenji Enomoto

1st • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs 拓弥橋本 (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs 優輝大野 (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.14
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Takumi Watanabe

11th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs 祐介又吉 (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs タカヤスギモト (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Takaaki Sano

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs RYOSUKE NAKAMURA (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.