World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia - Verdance, Thorn of the Rose (CC)

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dominic Chong

2nd • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Shafiq Nazmi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.12
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.20
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.19
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.67
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.48
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.07
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-

Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin

15th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elden Kang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Azel Tan

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Shafiq Nazmi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Barmby Boyou

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Michael Cheah Khai Hoong

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Barmby Boyou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.74
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.