Fai, Rising Rebellion at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walker Johnny (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barmby Boyou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.