Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walker Johnny (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barmby Boyou (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.