Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
Round 5: Loss vs Shafiq Nazmi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.