Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Cheah Khai Hoong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Shafiq Nazmi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.