World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Barry Sangabo Sirimanne

12th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.39
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.74
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Charles Hasley

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brighton Lim

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Walker Johnny (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.