Prism, Awakener of Sol at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Barry Sangabo Sirimanne

12th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Wong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.18
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.36
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.77
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Charles Hasley

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Muhammad Harraz Mohd Aris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Ong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brighton Lim

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Walker Johnny (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.55

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.