World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia - Azalea, Ace in the Hole (CC)

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nicholas Ong

3rd • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shafiq Nazmi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charles Hasley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.16
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.57
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.30
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.35
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Colin Tang

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Unknown)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brighton Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Moses Jason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.43
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.33
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Moses Jason

9th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kok Bin Ng (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Colin Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.