
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round 3: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Meor Eizaaz bin Nasarudin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 9: Win vs Dominic Chong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.