
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 6: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.