World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Malaysia - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Haziq Ghazale

21st • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Unknown)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Elden Kang (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Zheng Wei Tham

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kyle Pasion Ganesan

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.