Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Peter Bråss

5th • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Even Kverneland (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.23
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Even Kverneland

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Nordeng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.44
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Even Kverneland (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Egil Sæbøe-Larssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.60
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.