Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2025 - Norway

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 1-1-1

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oscar Kruse (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Ivan Ekeli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	70%	Draw	✓	0.69	-

Egil Sæbøe-Larssen

dropped • 0-2-1

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Torbjørn Tollaksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jaran Ødegaard Sørensen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simen Naterstad (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Draw	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.