Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Egil Sæbøe-Larssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs uno hanssen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Dash I/O
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.