National Championship 2025 - Norway - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC) - FaB-Results

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

dropped • 1-2-0

0%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simen Naterstad (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

Dash I/O

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.74
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.