National Championship 2025 - Norway - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Eliassen

3rd • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs An Bao Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Nordeng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Vong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.24
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.40
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

David Vong

5th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Oscar Kruse (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs uno hanssen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ivan Ekeli

dropped • 1-1-1

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Punnerud (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Cato DIrdal (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-

Andreas Nordeng

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam Faraj (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Even Kverneland (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Eliassen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.