
Prism, Advent of Thrones
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.