Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Remington Aalbers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Unknown)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Round 14: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.