Arakni, Huntsman at United States National Championship
Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Remington Aalbers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Yarbrough (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davis Purcell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Unknown)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.