Briar at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Briar

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wayu Saengphithak

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Isaac Lee (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Isaac Lee

10th • 4-1-1

83%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Oscilio) - Expected: 47:53

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Delgado (Dorinthea) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.08
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wiroon Juesathainrat

11th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Phitchaya Tungpavitaya

15th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Jared Blazich

20th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tsung-Han Han (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Watcharakiat Kitpokha (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Loss	✓	0.89	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.14
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Louie Poblete

21st • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mutthawakul Hoysung (Lexi) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.92
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

chayut langthong

26th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupha (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Win	✗	0.83	1.28
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Watcharakiat Kitpokha

30th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Fai) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Oscilio) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Supakrit Navamaneethum (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Worrachot Sujiarapat

31st • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Postsawee Aunruean (Florian) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Riptide) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Supakrit Navamaneethum (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Louis Mook

42nd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Aumnad Pondechawut (Lexi) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Panuwat Assawinjaipetch (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Oscilio) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Watcharakiat Kitpokha (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Enigma) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.88
R6	Silver Age	Florian	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Tsung-Han Han

43rd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Arman Mapa (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Saruntawat Boonrod

44th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arman Mapa (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Peeratat Gawinthananun (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tsung-Han Han (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.43
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arif Karim

45th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Louie Poblete (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60

Peter gil Felix

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: 44:56

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Chane) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 89:11

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Chane	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.14
R5	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wisanu Pohom

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai) - Expected: 49:51

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Fai) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.55
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.