Oldhim at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Oldhim

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jack Tang

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupha (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wisanu Pohom (Briar) - Expected: 80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Briar) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.18
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Rafael Uson

33rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupha (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Chuwong Wongchu

40th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs chayut langthong (Briar) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aumnad Pondechawut (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 80:20

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Supakrit Navamaneethum (Enigma) - Expected: 0:100

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arman Mapa

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tsung-Han Han (Briar) - Expected: 80:20

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

TZU HENG LIN

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Damien Bouché (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.