Oldhim at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Oldhim

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jack Tang

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupha (Rhinar) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wisanu Pohom (Briar) - Expected: 83:17

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Briar) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R4	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.15
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.23
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Rafael Uson

33rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 32:68

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupha (Rhinar) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 51:49

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Chuwong Wongchu

40th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs chayut langthong (Briar) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi (Iyslander) - Expected: 78:22

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Briar) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aumnad Pondechawut (Lexi) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Kyoshiro Takegahara

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: 55:45

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Arif Karim (Briar) - Expected: 83:17

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Supakrit Navamaneethum (Enigma) - Expected: 0:100

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pasit Subongkod (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.13
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Arman Mapa

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Saruntawat Boonrod (Briar) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tsung-Han Han (Briar) - Expected: 83:17

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Fai) - Expected: 32:68

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.13
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

TZU HENG LIN

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Damien Bouché (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.