Florian at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Florian

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Seiichi Yasuda

2nd • 8-1-0

89%

Meta

+3.8

Perf

4.8

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Unknown)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Dromai) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenn Lau (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Damien Bouché (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.52
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Keith Ma

34th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Theo T. (Fai) - Expected: 18:82

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Arman Mapa (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Fai) - Expected: 18:82

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Fai	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.43

Postsawee Aunruean

41st • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Briar) - Expected: 37:63

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai) - Expected: 20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Delgado (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.