Iyslander at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Iyslander

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Reeve Chia

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Louie Poblete (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs chayut langthong (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.44
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Panuwat Assawinjaipetch

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Wisanu Pohom (Briar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Fai) - Expected: 37:63

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.