Iyslander at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Iyslander

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Reeve Chia

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Louie Poblete (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: 19:81

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs chayut langthong (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.65
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Panuwat Assawinjaipetch

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Oscilio) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Thierry Enzo Sirawit Stocchi

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Wisanu Pohom (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Fai) - Expected: 42:58

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Chuwong Wongchu (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.