Oscilio at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Oscilio

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Yau

1st • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Panuwat Assawinjaipetch (Iyslander) - Expected: 81:19

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 81:19

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.37
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joniel Ibasco

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Oldhim) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Alexander Yusi

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Briar) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Watcharakiat Kitpokha (Briar) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.