Oscilio at Sunday Showdown: Bangkok 2026

Oscilio

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Yau

1st • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Panuwat Assawinjaipetch (Iyslander) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander) - Expected: 61:39

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Wayu Saengphithak (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.41
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.48
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joniel Ibasco

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Oldhim) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Keith Ma (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Alexander Yusi

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Watcharakiat Kitpokha (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Mook (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.