Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Greece
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Alexakis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs konstantinos konstantinidis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefanos Michalakis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
27th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitrios Farmakis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vangelis Giannakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs John Kitsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
10th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ioannis Tsolakidis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GRIGORIOS KOUVOUSIS (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
21st • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Georgios Tsechilidis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
32nd • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angelos Maxilaris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yannis Stathakis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Paraskevopoulos (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Valantis Petmezas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Loss |
17th • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giwrgos Tsiampas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konstantinos Tsolakakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Mitsikoudis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dimitris Kavvadas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valantis Petmezas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.