Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
Dash I/O
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Dorinthea Ironsong
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thanasis Tsarouchis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andreas Phylactou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Giwrgos Tsiampas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
Dash I/O
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikolaos Gkilis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valantis Petmezas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.