National Championship 2026 - Greece - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

axilleas siskopoulos

1st • 7-2-0

22%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.8

Surp

6.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Konstantinos Paltoglou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs John Kitsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

22% (2/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.09
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.36
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.51
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.56
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.97
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.70

Stefanos Michalakis

16th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antonis Autzalanidis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs George Melissakis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Vangelis Giannakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Evangelos Mytis

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs John Kitsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Lytras (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Alexakis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.41
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

George Matzaris

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Beddy (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.