National Championship 2026 - Greece - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Panagiotis Xanthopoulos

3rd • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manos Apostolakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs John Kitsos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Vangelis Giannakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.06
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	2.08
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Gabriel Beddy

14th • 5-1-0

50%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs George Matzaris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alkis Sejati (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Stavros Stavromitros (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.97
R9	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.66

Μαριος Γιουβανούδης

15th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dimitrios Farmakis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vangelis Giannakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dimitris Kavvadas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Angelos Maxilaris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.24
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.87
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.45

Giannis Karakoulias

33rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Ritzakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anastasios Chatzisavvidis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Loukas Petroulakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Panagiotis Pavlou (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Chris Alexakis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nikos Evgenidis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.15
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.06
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Nikos Tavoulareas

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Μαριος Γιουβανούδης (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anatoliy Mok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.49
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.