Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2026 - Greece
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vangelis Giannakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valantis Petmezas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dimitris Kavvadas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.