Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jared Blazich

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

siwa vichaidit

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louie Poblete (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

chayut langthong

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sarawin Politanont (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 89:11

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jared Blazich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.13
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tatthep Kasetsin

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Sarawin Politanont (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 89:11

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nunthawat Sukseangjalern (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 81:19

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	90%	Draw	✓	0.89	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.30

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.