Pleiades, Superstar at National Championship 2026 - Thailand
Pleiades, Superstar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natthakamol(nack) Rotboonma (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs chayut langthong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Krittawat Sakchuwong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Draw |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.