Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Dong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Repta (Unknown)
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Maciej Janik (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
55th 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Łukasz Cichecki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alex Lo (Unknown)
dropped 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.1
Diff
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fred Bird (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Holden (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Katsu
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kelvin Law (Katsu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
125th 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Unknown)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Unknown)
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roman Legíň (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Kano, Dracai of Aether
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Josep Giné (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
153rd 4-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Hand (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christofer Lindholm (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Trinh (Unknown)
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Tom Tydecks (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Calf (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Dromai, Ash Artist
!
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
138th 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nica Roth (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Lo (Unknown)
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ethan Van Sant (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Unknown)
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Dash I/O
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Beaumont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcel Harz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mohamed El Fardi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Mirande (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Dromai, Ash Artist
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gardar Gunnarsson (Unknown)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YUTO NIIDA (Unknown)
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Huepper (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tov Hanssen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Dromai, Ash Artist
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Unknown)
Dromai, Ash Artist
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harrison Shore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fedir Kokhan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Iyslander, Stormbind
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 49:51
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Łukasz Szczepanowski (Unknown)
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiromitsu Okita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Dromai, Ash Artist
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Craig Pollack (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nish Nimmagadda (Unknown)
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Joergensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Bravo, Showstopper
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 45:55
Dromai, Ash Artist
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Urban (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.