Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at World Championship: Barcelona
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
70th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Phi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs George Melissakis (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niklas Astner (Teklovossen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
107th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
6.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip Dickinson (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Favretto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Win vs Joakim Gustafsson (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tansei hiroyuki (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
Round 13: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
115th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
6.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Joghiu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Birch (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Unknown)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
Round 14: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
14th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcel Harz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Liam Holden (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jesus Garcia Gomez-Valades (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hochun Lai (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Unknown)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bun Ar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gavin Wu (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christofer Lindholm (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Holland (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Reis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chang Li (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.