World Championship: Barcelona - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Paweł Rozynek

117th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Craig Pollack (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charly Bizard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul Mirande (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R11	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.36
R13	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.97

Kieran Carnegie

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Law Wen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Søren Madsen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.